BITCOIN & ETHEREUM MONTLHY REPORT 4TH JANUARY 2021
BITCOIN PRIMARY CYCLES
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If you have been following me on twitter you would have captured this entire move on the upside.
The initial move was to the December highs, but the blast occurred in the final week of the year.
My view there are more gains in the short-term, but I think there will be a reversal back down in the January Yellow that will coincide with the highs in the S&P 500 (read report)
If that happens, buy and HOLD for further gains into the rest of 2021.
ETHEREUM Primary Cycles
Whilst above $914-930, Target $1,280.
Same expectation of a reversal into the Yellow in January. $615
BITCOIN & ETHEREUM REPORT 6th December 2020
BITCOIN & ETHEREUM PRIMARY CYCLES.
BITCOIN HAS COMPLETED THE BREAKOUT AND EXTEND PATTERN FROM NOVEMBER RED INTO DECEMBER HIGHS RED.
THIS IS OFTEN A RESISTANCE LEVEL AND CAN REVERSE DOWN.
ANY RESERVE DOWN CAN OFTEN BE 30-35%.
IN THE LAST BULL RUN, THERE WERE 6 X 35% DROPS, EACH DROP WAS INTO THE YELLOW AND THEN THE NEXT TAKE OFF OCCURED.
MY SUGGESTION IS IF THIS HAPPEN, ADD POSITIONS AROUND THE TRAILING YELLOW FOR THE NEXT 12 MONTHS.
ETHEREUM
BREAK AND EXTEND PATTERN IS TOWARDS 760-814.
IF PRICE THIS WEEK IS BELOW $590, MY OPINION THE DOWN MOVE IN BOTH BITCOIN AND ETEREUM WILL BE ONLY 1 WEEK, OR AROUND $530 AND THEN FROM THE WEEK OF 13TH DECEMBER WE BEGIN THE NEXT MOVE HIGHER.
WHILST ABOVE $590, THE TREND IS STILL GOING.
THEREFORE
THERE'S A LOT MORE UPSIDE IN BOTH.
IF THERE'S WEAKNESS THIS WEEK, I DON'T THINK IT WILL BE A 35% DROP .
I THINK IT WILL BE BACK TOWARDS THE 5-DAY LOWS AND THEN THE NEXT LEG UPWARDS OCCURS FROM THE FOLLOWING WEEK
BITCOIN 25-26K
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BITCOIN & ETHEREUM REPORTS - 1ST NOVEMBER 2020
BITCOIN PRIMARY CYCLES
WE'VE SEEN BITCOIN RALLY SINCE MY PREVIOUS REPORT AND NOW TRADING ABOVE THE 2020 HIGHS OF $13529
THIS IS NOW IN A PRIMARY CYCLE BREAKOUT ZONE, WITH AN UPPER TARGET OF $17561 IN NOVEMBER.
HOWEVER, WE HAVE SEEN MULTPILE TIMES, WHEN THERE 'S A BREAKOUT IN THE MONTHLY (RED) IT CONTINUES INTO THE NEXT MONTHLY HIGHS AND THEN REVERSES DOWN.
THIS MAY STILL HAPPEN THIS WEEK, AND IF IT DOES IT WILL BE A QUICK MOVE DOWN TO $12768 AND IN MY OPINION, THEY WILL BUY IT BACK UP TO THESE SAME NOVEMBER LEVELS.
A BULLISH SCENARIO WILL SEE AN EARLY PUSH UP THIS WEEK TO $14459 - $14600
ETHEREUM PRIMARY CYCLES
THE KEY LEVEL IS $385 WITH A NOVEMBER TARGET OF $464.
A BREAKOUT OF $464 ON THE BACK ON BITCOIN MOVING TOWARDS 17K IS $590
HOWEVER, A RETEST OF $365 IS STILL A POSSIBILITY.
$333 IS THE 2020 HIGHS, THEREFORE WE ARE IN A PRIMARY CYCLE BREAKOUT, WITH AN EXPECTATION PRICE IS MOVING TO NEW HIGHS IN 2021
BITCOIN & ETHEREUM REPORT 9th OCTOBER
BITCOIN PRIMARY CYCLES
BOTH BITCOIN & ETHEREUM ARE ABOVE KEY PRIMARY CYCLES LEVELS AFTER SPENDING THE PREVIOUS YEAR IN BEAR CYCLES
BY FOLLOWING THE DILERNIA PRINCIPLES, THERE'S AN EXPECTATION THAT BEAR MARKET REVERSALS CONTINUE HIGHER FROM THE CURRENT YEAR & INTO NEW HIGHS THE FOLLOWING YEAR
THESE TRENDS OFTEN BEGIN IN THE LAST QUARTER OF THE YEAR AND CONTINUE TO NEW HIGHS AT THE START OF THE NEW QUARTER I.E 2021 HIGHS.
BY USING WEEKLY REGRESSION TOOLS WE ARE NOW LOOKING FOR CONSOLIDATION ABOVE THE OCTOBER LEVEL 10680 AND THE CROSS OVER ON THE BLUE LEVEL IN A COUPLE OF WEEKS
THAT MEANS - 2020 HIGHS AT $13529 AND THEN NEW HIGHS IN 2021
ETHEREUM PRIMARAY CYCLES
ETHEREUM IS ALREADY ABOVE ITS 2020 HIGHS $333 AND IT'S FORMING A ROBUST SUPPORT ZONE.
TIME IS NOW CATCHING UP WITH PRICE AND I'M STARTING TO LOOK FOR MOVES ABOVE THE YELLOW AT 355-64
SURE TIME CAN CATCH UP WITH PRICE AND PUSH IT DOWN TOWARDS $273......BUT??
THE PRIMARY CYCLES OF MOVING FROM A BEAR TO BULL, I'M FOLLOWING THE 2-WAVE PATTERN TO NEW HIGHS IN 2021
BITCOIN & ETHEREUM REPORT 4TH SEPTEMBER 2020
BITCOIN PRIMARY CYCLES
Same patterns in the Primary Cycles, but what's the outcome in September, if all trends originate from the Yellow levels and push outward?
It's more than likely it will be weeks away before any new up trend begins from 10100, however it doesn't mean it can't go up, towards 11700 over the next 7 days and consolidate above the September level .
or it can be like FEB/ MARCH
10100 supports price for the next 7-days and moves down to 9053 (NEXT BUY ZONE)
A Flash - crash similar to MARCH will see price down to approx 5900

ETHEREUM PRIMARY CYCLES
Price had to come into the BLUE level at $377 for any new up trend to begin
We can see similar price action in June 2019 and there's other instances in previous years.
Therefore today's lows need to close above $395 by Sunday, for a potential move much higher the following week.
Please note that ETH is trading above the Yearly highs, which is bullish and a breakout.
Bearish pattern will be a sell-off following BITCOIN, back down towards $200
CRYPTO - BITCOIN & ETHEREUM REPORTS 16TH AUGUST 2020
BITCOIN PRIMARY CYCLES
BITCOIN LOOKS WELL SUPPORTED FOR A CONTINUATION UPWARDS.
IT'S CONSOLIDATING ABOVE 11747, HOWEVER IT MIGHT TAKE ANOTHER ANOTHER WEEK OR SO BEFORE IT REACHES 13529 (YEARLY HIGH)
THE TARGET REMAINS 15562 IN AUGUST
ETHEREUM PRIMARY AND WEEKLY CYCLES
TARGET IN AUGUST REMAINS $543
HOWEVER, i WOULD LIKE TO SEE A DIP DOWN INTO 392-97 BEFORE IT CONTINUES HIGHER
#BITCOIN #ETHEREUM #CRYPTO
Bitcoin & Ethereum Report 1st August 2020
BITCOIN Primary & Weekly Cycles
Minimum Move on #Bitcoin is to 11824
We've seen in the past that the start of the next month we could see a move downward starting next week back towards the August level at 9934. (Support)
However, I think this is different and it's following the move on Ethereum and continuing higher towards $13529 (Yearly Highs)
Ethereum Primary & Weekly Cycles
Target $369-72
Around those highs we could see sellers appearing trying to push it back down into $300 Support
However, if Bitcoin continues higher, the Ethereum will be moving towards the August highs - 2 wave pattern and exit.
BITCOIN - ETHEREUM CRYPTO REPORT 26th July 2020
BITCOIN PRIMARY & Weekly Cycles
BITCOIN Primary Cycles Bullish above 8225 and once back above the Monthly 50% level at 9433 Bulls are back in control.
Two patterns in play -
1. Stalls around July highs 9858 - 10202 and moves back down into 9357 (Yellow)
2. Trends up into 10976 - remains above 9858 - 10202 and continues higher in August towards the 2020 highs at $13529.
ETHEREUM
Same pattern as BITCOIN, once back above the Monthly 50% level at $231 it's kicking higher and
up into $372.
Support remains the the trailing Weekly 50% levels before it gets to that level.
If it hits $372 by the end of this week, it's likely to move higher early in August to hit the double top wave pattern (August highs) Take profits.
There after...
Consolidates above the 2020 highs and continues to trend higher into 2021 highs
Therefore we want to be looking for move buying ops on any dips.
BITCOIN REPORT 20th July 2020
BITCOIN PRIMARY CYCLES
BITCOIN is above the Yearly 50% level at 8225, therefore the Primary Cycles remain bullish
Secondary Cycles are bearish, whilst below 9357 the trend bias is down, however we haven't seen the same sell-off as March, therefore the Sellers aren't in control.
The Secondary Cycles are now catching up with Price (blue 9507).
There is now two possible patterns.
1.
These same channels start to push the trend downward, starting from next week and into the AUGUST LOWS (same as September - October 2019)
2.
This week continues up into 9507 but stalls, then next week the same level will drop below Price and the next up trend begins from next week, as seen in April and December 2019.
There were a lot of ALT-COINS that were showing weakness two weeks ago, but they are back into showing bullish patterns
BITCOIN REPORT 12TH JULY 2020
BITCON PRIMARY CYCLES
We have seen 8846
support price (BUY YELLOW) and move up to 9357 and stall.
This is a very
similar pattern as February/March, and this week has the potential to follow a
similar pattern.
We never know the outcome of any trade, all we can do is position ourselves to potentially maximise for what may follow using TIME, PRICE, SUPPORT, RESISTANCE.
PRIMARY CYCLES BULLISH - above 8225
SECONDARY CYCLES NOW BEARISH -
whilst below 9357-9443
Until #Bitcoin moves above 9357/9443 my view is down into higher timeframe support levels
3 potential patterns that may play out.
A.
Starts to move down from next week into 8684 - 8225 and then continues to
remain range bound for a number of months
B. Moves down as far as 7695, but then moves into another sideways pattern
C. Dramatic sell-off into 5676 bounces but makes a further lower low in August before a major counter-trend upwards.
I have no idea, which one will play out, all I know is, I have a bias of down and if shorting resistance or breaks of support in the intra-day cycles I would hold longer than normal.
Positions can be managed using the intra-day cycles, i.e. take profits, add positions, run stop losses, counter-trends/swing for day traders.
My view is that #BTC needs to go down before it can go higher. HODLERS now have
levels to add positions for long term.
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